Poll Nostradamus Allan Lichtman vs Nate Silver: Who predicts US election 2024 accurately?
Sunday, 3 November 2024 () Allan Lichtman is a historian and predicted the past nine out of 10 elections correctly except the race between George W Bush and Al Gore. Nate Silver is a statistician and his model gained popularity after he rightly predicted the result in 49 states out of 50 in 2008. Their methods are different and while Lichtman's prediction is a Kamala Harris victory, Nate Silver said his gut feeling is Donald Trump would win.
In the lead-up to the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, two prominent figures stand out for their forecasting abilities: Nate Silver and Allan Lichtman. Silver, known for his data-driven approach, often emphasizes statistical modeling, while Lichtman has a historical model based on political patterns...
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